What the Supreme Court Does in the Shadows

The Supreme Court’s enigmatic “shadow docket,” explained

How the Supreme Court hides major conservative victories in plain sight.

From the Vox article:

According to a November 2019 paper by University of Texas law professor Stephen Vladeck, “during the sixteen years of the George W. Bush and Obama Administrations, the Solicitor General filed a total of eight such applications — averaging one every other Term.”

By contrast, “in less than three years, [Trump’s] Solicitor General has filed at least twenty-one applications for stays in the Supreme Court (including ten during the October 2018 Term alone).”

The Supreme Court, meanwhile, has rewarded the Trump Justice Department’s behavior. Vladeck finds that the Trump administration achieved a full or partial victory in about two-thirds of cases where it seeks to temporarily block a lower court opinion. What was once extraordinary is now quite ordinary.

America Unravelled

I know Wade Davis mostly from his book The Serpent and the Rainbow.  This article is a  good read but I have to add that the plague in the middle ages did not mean the end for Europe.  I am skeptical of a Chinese Century and think America may get a second shot, if only by default.  But hey, that first shot was by default, too.  From Rolling Stone

The Unraveling of America

Anthropologist Wade Davis on how COVID-19 signals the end of the American era

Solar Break Even 2020

On hot sunny days like this when we are running the air conditioner pretty much all day my thoughts turn to solar power.  I was wondering what the break even time was for solar, using numbers (below) for Austin, TX electricity and raw panels, retail price.  I realize there are (possibly large) installation costs and other support hardware, but just as a stake in the ground for a number.  I was surprised that at the top tier the payback was less than two years.

Panel Cost Panel Watts Sun Hours / Day Electricity $/KWH Panel kWH/Year Panel $/year Break Even (Years) Notes
$177.12 320 8 0.02801 934.40 26.17 6.77 Austin Tier 1
$177.12 320 8 0.05832 934.40 54.49 3.25 Austin Tier 2
$177.12 320 8 0.07814 934.40 73.01 2.43 Austin Tier 3
$177.12 320 8 0.09314 934.40 87.03 2.04 Austin Tier 4
$177.12 320 8 0.10184 934.40 95.16 1.86 Austin Tier 5

Electricity Rate Cuts

Had a look at local Austin electricity rates. Was mostly interested in break even points for solar.  I thought there were only three tiers.  Turns out there are five, with the top two turned off for COVID-19.  So the biggest electricity users in the city get significant rate cuts for the pandemic.  Not sure what that is supposed to accomplish.  Why not a flat credit that would help less affluent customers, who are the ones that probably need it most?

Energy Charge (¢ per kWh)
Tier 1: 0 – 500 kWh 2.801¢
Tier 2: 501 – 1,000 kWh 5.832¢
Tier 3: >1,000 kWh 7.814¢
Tier 4: 1,501 – 2,500 kWh Rate suspended due to COVID-19 9.314¢
Tier 5: > 2,500 kWh Rate suspended due to COVID-19 10.814¢

Spectrum Internet Sucks

Been fighting this battle literally for years.  Back when Spectrum was Time-Warner we had this same problem.  There seems to be a bad node / Router that one technician told me was working with two of its four channels broken.  it seems to not be a terrible problem unless lots of people (in my neighborhood?) are using the internet.  Problem is today, everyone is using the internet, all day.  I keep getting the run around, with a new modem, a booster in my garage, promises that it has been fixed.  Below is an MTR trace from today.  You don’t even have to be a techie to see something wrong and see where it is.  The Spectrum Man is coming again at 4pm.  Have a whole document to hand him this time.  Next stop, FCC …

$ mtr -c 10 --report google.com
Start: 2020-07-30T14:05:56-0500
HOST: pi4ubuntu                   Loss%   Snt   Last   Avg  Best  Wrst StDev
  1.|-- _gateway                   0.0%    10   28.7   5.8   1.4  28.7   8.3
  2.|-- cpe-66-68-128-1.austin.re  0.0%    10   12.7  16.6  10.0  24.8   5.3
  3.|-- tge0-0-5.ausutxla01h.texa 10.0%    10  4501. 4356. 3782. 4718. 287.3
  4.|-- agg50.ausutxla01r.texas.r  0.0%    10   17.0  17.4  11.5  33.9   6.8
  5.|-- agg22.dllatxl301r.texas.r  0.0%    10   40.2  30.2  15.4  44.3   9.2
  6.|-- bu-ether24.dllstx976iw-bc  0.0%    10   21.4  24.9  16.6  41.1   7.1
  7.|-- 72.14.218.12               0.0%    10   52.9  24.0  18.0  52.9  10.3
  8.|-- 108.170.229.24             0.0%    10   42.0  29.1  18.4  49.5   9.3
  9.|-- 209.85.244.59              0.0%    10   21.9  25.8  20.8  35.6   5.0
 10.|-- dfw28s23-in-f14.1e100.net  0.0%    10   23.3  20.9  16.9  27.6   3.5