Texas is Still Red

Years ago, Austin was the only blue spot in the state. It was a different era, when the Republican Party of Texas, if they weren’t necessarily less radical than they are today, at least let places like Austin do their own Blue thing. Today Texas has four of the biggest cities in the country. Some say it resembles California in that respect. But the deep Red rural parts still hold sway. From Axios.

2022 Texas gubernatorial election results, by county

Sweeping Gains

Tomorrow is the big midterm election. I try to follow it, but not too closely. I’m going to go against the grain a bit here and first say I don’t see actual data for big gains by the Republican party. I even consider Texas a close call. Abbott is the incumbent and seems to be having trouble breaking 50%, even though he is ahead. Lots of undecideds out there. Same in lots of other places. And then there is the problem of “low quality” polls. Of course, I’m not too optimistic. But I’m still thinking of the 14 point (or was it 18 point?) surprise swing to the Dems in deep Red Kansas. That was quite a surprise, and only in August, though it seems like a long time ago. I cant recall anything even close to this as a polling failure. I don’t think this energy had dissipated. We will find out more tomorrow.

Biden fights to stop midterms defeat as Republicans poised for sweeping gains

American Violence

There seems to have been a rise in violence in America in recent years and the numbers support this. I was a bit shocked at the data for violent outbursts on airlines. American has always been a violent place but this seems to be a new phase. I have to add one of my favorite quotes, which happens to be about violence.

“Violence is the last refuge of the incompetent.”

Isaac Asimov, Foundation

It’s not just politicians: American workers are facing a sharp spike in threats and violence